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Growth impulses strengthening, inflation trajectory favourable: RBI Governor

Growth impulses strengthening, inflation trajectory favourable: RBI Governor
October 08
12:38 2021

MUMBAI: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday informed that India’s growth rate has seen improvement, and the projection for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the financial year (FY) of 2021-22 has been retained at 9.5 per cent.

Addressing the media after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said, “India is in a much better place today than at the time of the last MPC meeting. Growth impulses are strengthening, inflation trajectory more favourable than expected.”

“The projection for real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is retained at 9.5 per cent for FY 2021-22. This consists of 7.9 per cent in the second quarter, 6.8 per cent in the third quarter and 6.1 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2021-22,” Das said.

Notably, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for the first quarter of the financial year (FY) 2022-23 has been projected at 5.2 per cent. “High-frequency indicators suggest economic activity has gained momentum. Core inflation remains sticky. July-September Consumer price Index (CPI) inflation was lower than anticipated,” the RBI Governor added.

Further, he added that the pent-up demand, the festival season should boost urban demand.

Amid the rising fuel prices, retail inflation stood at 5.3 per cent in August. “Recovery in demand gathered pace in August-September. Pick-up in import of capital goods point to some recovery in activity,” Das said while hoping to sail towards normal times, due to resilience of economic fundamentals of the Indian economy.

Das further said, “RBI’s approach is that of gradualism, don’t want suddenness or surprises.”

Notably, the repo rate has remained unchanged for the eighth time and has continued with an accommodative policy stance for ‘as long as necessary to revive and sustain growth on a durable basis’. The policy decision has been taken to mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on the economy while ensuring inflation remains within the target, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said.

“The MPC has been given the mandate to maintain annual inflation at 4 per cent until March 31, 2026, with an upper tolerance of 6 per cent and a lower tolerance of 2 per cent,” he said.

RBI had last revised its policy repo rate, the central bank’s lending rate, on May 22, 2020, in an off-policy cycle to perk up the demand by cutting interest rate to a historic low. The repo rate — the central bank’s lending rate — remains unchanged at 4 per cent and the reverse repo rate — borrowing rate — at 3.35 per cent.

“The worst of the second wave is behind us, and substantial pickup in COVID-19 vaccination, giving greater confidence to open up and normalize economic activity,” he added. (ANI)

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