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‘Slower testing, delayed peaking, lagging recovery for India’

‘Slower testing, delayed peaking, lagging recovery for India’
September 15
16:21 2020

NEW DELHI: Of the top six states worst hit by Covid, new cases are rising again in Delhi, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka while Maharashtra is seeing a sharp uptick. The latest Covid tracker by JM Financial flags slower testing, delayed peaking and lagging recovery.

The tracker notes that growth in daily case fell to 2.1 per cent versus 2.2 per cent last week, with moderation in testing growth. Uptick in trajectories has been seen for the seemingly peaking states, including Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Delhi while a sharp uptick in some districts of Maharashtra.

As far as economic indicators are concerned, the report notes that most consumption indicators are holding up the momentum, recovery in industrial indicators is slow and rural indicators remain steady. The report notes that India has still not peaked out while there is a strong second wave in the UK and Spain. The daily case growth is second highest among top-hit nations at 2.1 per cent versus 2.2 per cent last week.

The daily recoveries-to-new cases ratio for India averaged 82 per cent last week while deaths-to-positives ratio moderated to 1.65 per cent versus 1.72 per cent last week.

Deaths per test for India remain below most nations while the daily growth in testing per million falls further this week (at 2.1 per cent); now at par with daily case growth.

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